Stand up for the facts!

Our only agenda is to publish the truth so you can be an informed participant in democracy.
We need your help.

More Info

I would like to contribute

$
Nancy Nathanson
Nancy Nathanson
stated on April 4, 2013 in a House floor speech.:

Says “a pack-a-day smoker who quits because of the tax increase will save about $1,650 a year.”

True
By Ian K. Kullgren
April 15, 2013

Would a pack-a-day smoker save $1650 a year if they quit smoking?

Lawmakers in Salem are taking a look at the state’s cigarette tax and floating the possibility of allowing counties to add their own tax on top of the the current $1.18 per pack. Advocates spend a lot of time talking about how a higher per-pack price would cut the number of youth smokers — and the various health benefits that would come with never starting.

But Rep. Nancy Nathanson, D-Eugene, took a slightly different tack during a House floor speech earlier this month: Not only would an increased tax save some lungs, but if smokers quit as a result of the increase, their wallets would thank them, too.

“A pack-a-day smoker who quits because of the tax increase will save about $1,650 a year to spend on other essential household goods and services, a not insubstantial number for that family,” Nathanson said.

We started thinking about everything we’d buy with that $1,600 — some shoes, maybe, definitely a few new records, a new computer even. Then we remembered nobody at PolitiFact Oregon smokes.

Still, we couldn’t help but wonder if Nathanson’s math added up.

We gave her office a call and they told us the figures came from a study done by the Multnomah County Health Department.

The department found that a pack ran between $4.37 to $4.97 with brands ranging from Marlboro, Lucky Strike, American Legend and Newport. That meant a pack-a-day smoker would save between $1,600 and $1,800.

Nathanson’s $1,650 figure came from the cost of L&M cigarettes at WinCo, which was $4.51 a pack.

The report’s figures came from this March and April but PolitiFact Oregon likes to do a little independent research for any given claim. We set out on our own and hit up a Safeway in downtown Portland for a price survey of our own.

Cigarettes at Safeway do not come cheap. A pack of Marlboros came in at $6.20 and you’d have to fork over $8 for American Spirits. That’d put you at a yearly savings of anywhere between $2,250 and $2,900. (We’d buy two computers with that bonus.)

We were about to check on the price of a carton of cigarettes because our moms taught us to shop in bulk, when the kind woman behind the counter said we ought to just walk a block to the nearest Plaid Pantry.

There, you could get a pack for anywhere between $4.98 and $6.25. A carton of Marlboro reds came in at $50 for 10 packs, which seemed about right.

The ruling: Nathanson said that a pack-a-day smoker would save $1,650 a year. Her numbers were based on a report from the Multnomah County Health Department, but it turns out that’s a pretty conservative estimate, at least for Portland.

Still, her point is that quitting will save a hefty chunk of change and we rate that claim True.

Our Sources

Rep. Nancy Nathanson, House floor speech, April 4, 2013

Multnomah County Health Department survey, March-April 2013

PolitiFact Oregon survey of cigarette prices, April 11, 2013

Browse the Truth-O-Meter

More by Ian K. Kullgren
Sal Esquivel
stated on August 11, 2013 an opinion article
Says every day of a special session costs taxpayers $40,000.
False
Jim Francesconi
stated on August 7, 2013 an opinion article
Says "nearly half of Oregon's children are poor."
Half-True

Are nearly half of Oregon’s children growing up poor?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
stated on January 7, 2026 a press briefing

stated on January 14, 2026 a statement

Social Media
stated on February 14, 2026 social media posts



stated on January 20, 2026 an op-ed


Donald Trump
stated on February 3, 2026 remarks in the Oval Office


Social Media
stated on February 8, 2026 social media posts





Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
stated on stated on November 17, 2025 in remarks at George Washington University:

Donald Trump
stated on February 2, 2026 an interview with Dan Bongino