Sen. Rand Paul’s ad was wrong claiming there are no omicron hospitalizations; he took the ad down


LA hospital covid patient
In this Nov. 19, 2020 photo, ventilator tubes are attached to a COVID-19 patient at Providence Holy Cross Medical Center in Los Angeles. California hospitals ended the year on “the brink of catastrophe,” an official said. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)

Since omicron was detected in late November, early indications have been that it results in milder illness than other variants of COVID-19.

But not even one hospitalization?

That was the claim from Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., in an ad that solicited contributions for his 2022 reelection campaign.

“The COVID hysteria has already gone on too long and these power-hungry bureaucrats don’t want to let go,” Paul said in a 50-second video ad on Facebook that started running Jan. 4, the day he filed to run for a third term. “That’s probably why we’re hearing a lot about this new scary omicron variant.

@politifact Sen. Rand Paul’s ad claiming there are no omicron hospitalizations was wrong. #LearnOnTikTok #omicron #covid19 ♬ feeling – Official Sound Studio

 

“But let’s be clear. The omicron variant in South Africa, and now California and across the United States, is reported as an illness with mild symptoms. We hope that will play out over the next few weeks as we learn more. But so far, no one has been hospitalized for it. That’s good news.”

Are you less likely to need hospitalization if you’re infected with omicron? Yes, those are the early indications, especially if you’re vaccinated or have immunity from a previous coronavirus infection.

But zero hospitalizations from omicron? Far from it.

Omicron’s emergence, and surge

Omicron was first identified by researchers in South Africa, who reported it to the World Health Organization on Nov. 24. The World Health Organization designated it as a variant of concern two days later. It has spread to at least 110 countries. 

The first U.S. case was confirmed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Dec. 1, days after a Californian returned home from South Africa. 

On Jan. 4, the CDC estimated that 95.4% of the COVID-19 cases in the United States in the week ending Jan. 1 were the omicron variant and just 4.6% from the delta variant. A month earlier, Omicron’s share was just 0.6%.

Hospitalizations continuing with omicron

While there is not comprehensive data on omicron hospitalizations, it’s simply not the case that there have been none.

The World Health Organization told PolitiFact it does not have data on COVID-19 infections that are broken down by variant. While early data from South Africa, the United Kingdom and Denmark suggest a reduced risk of hospitalization for omicron compared to delta, increased transmission due to omicron is expected to lead to more hospitalizations, the organization said. 

“It is still unclear to what extent the observed reduction in risk of hospitalization can be attributed to immunity from previous infections or vaccination and to what extent omicron may be less virulent,” the organization said in an email.

Omicron hospitalizations were reported before the ad went live.

Paul’s response

We reached out Jan. 6 to Paul’s campaign. Deputy campaign manager Jake Cox replied the same day, saying that when the script for the ad was written, there were no confirmed hospitalizations, and that the ad is no longer running. 

Facebook says the ad stopped running Jan. 6.

Paul ran for the 2016 GOP presidential nomination. His leading challenger for reelection is former Kentucky state lawmaker Charles Booker, who narrowly lost the Democratic nomination for Kentucky’s other U.S. Senate seat in 2020. 

Our ruling

In a campaign fund-raising ad for his reelection, Paul stated: “No one has been hospitalized for” the omicron variant of COVID-19.

Studies published before the ad began running on Facebook documented hundreds of omicron hospitalizations. Paul took the ad down.

We rate the claim False.

Truth-o-meter Ruling

False

IF YOUR TIME IS SHORT

  • Paul claimed in an ad that sought contributions for his re-election campaign that there have been no hospitalizations for people with the omicron variant of COVID-19.

  • Two studies published before the ad began running cited hundreds of omicron hospitalizations.

  • Paul’s campaign took the ad down.

Statement

“No one has been hospitalized for” the omicron variant of COVID-19.

Context

an ad

Speaker/Target

Speaker: Rand Paul

Statement Date

January 4, 2022
Our Sources

Facebook, Rand Paul for U.S. Senate ad ID: 301711262002565, Jan. 4, 2022

Email, Rand Paul deputy campaign manager Jake Cox, Jan. 6, 2022

Email, World Health Organization spokesperson Wynne Boelt, Jan. 6, 2022

PolitiFact, "Omicron is still being studied, but data in viral Facebook post is wrong," Dec. 9, 2021

MedRxiv, "Early signals of significantly increased vaccine breakthrough, decreased hospitalization rates, and less severe disease in patients with COVID-19 caused by the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Houston, Texas," Jan. 1, 2022

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, "Variant Proportions," week ending Jan. 1, 2022

Reuters, "Omicron estimated to be 95.4% of coronavirus variants in U.S. - CDC," Jan. 4, 2022

Reuters, "WHO sees more evidence that Omicron causes milder symptoms," Jan. 4, 2022 

New York Times, "Omicron Is Milder," Jan. 5, 2022

New York Times, "In Omicron Hot Spots, Hospitals Fill Up, but I.C.U.s May Not," Jan. 4, 2022

New York Times, "People with Omicron are less likely to need hospitalization, U.K. report finds," Dec. 31, 2021

UK Health Security Agency, "Technical briefing: Update on hospitalisation and vaccine effectiveness for Omicron VOC-21NOV-01 (B.1.1.529)," Dec. 31, 2021

Washington Post, "Two key pieces of context for considering omicron and hospitalizations," Jan. 5, 2022

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