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Donald Trump
Donald Trump
stated on November 10, 2015 in a debate in Milwaukee, Wis.:

“We’re losing now over $500 billion a year in terms of imbalance with China.”

Mostly False
By Anna Bruzgulis
November 11, 2015

Trump says that trade imbalance between U.S. and China tops $500B

Donald Trump turned a question about the Trans-Pacific Partnership into an opportunity to discuss the United States’ trade deficit with China during the Nov. 10, 2015, Fox Business debate.

For the record, the TPP involves Asian nations, but not China.

Still, Trump said that “We’re losing now over $500 billion a year in terms of imbalance with China.”

Last month at a campaign rally in Sioux Falls, Iowa, Trump said “we have almost a $400 billion trade imbalance with China.”

A jump of more than $100 billion in less than a month? Really?

No.

We reached out to Trump’s campaign for more information on the figure, but did not hear back. However, according to data from the Census Bureau, the U.S. trade deficit with China clocked in at $343 billion in 2014. That makes Trump off by more than 31 percent.

For comparison, a $343 billion trade gap is roughly the entire Gross Domestic Product of Denmark.

So far, the trade deficit for 2015 has been calculated through September 2015, totalling almost $274 billion. Over the last 12 months of available data, the trade deficit has totaled $364 billion.

That’s a big deficit but not more than $500 billion as Trump said.

Since 1986, the yearly U.S. trade deficit with China has grown from year to year except in 2001 and 2009. See our chart for more information.

Our ruling

Trump said that “we’re losing now over $500 billion a year in terms of imbalance with China.”

Last month, Trump said almost $400 billion during a speech in Iowa. He should have stuck to that figure.

The 2014 trade deficit totaled $343 billion, and it’s expected to be larger in 2015 but not more than $500 billion.

Trump’s claim rates Mostly False.

Our Sources

Google Sheets, "Trade Deficit Since 1985," Nov. 8, 2015

C-SPAN, "Donald Trump Campaign Rally in Sioux City, Iowa," Oct. 27, 2015

U.S. Census Bureau, "Trade in Goods with China," accessed Nov. 8, 2015

The World Bank, "GDP (current US$)," accessed Nov. 9, 2015

 

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