Barack Obama
Barack Obama
stated on February 10, 2008 in a campaign rally in Alexandria, Va.:

"The last six polls, including this week's Time magazine, show that I beat John McCain by six or seven points."

Mostly True

Polls show Obama beating McCain

By Angie Drobnic Holan
February 11, 2008

Sen. Barack Obama regularly makes the argument that he will be a stronger general election candidate than his primary opponent, Sen. Hillary Clinton.

In a speech at a campaign rally on Feb. 10, 2008, he continued to expound on that theme, this time citing poll numbers.

“The last six polls, including this week’s

Time

magazine, show that I beat John McCain by six or seven points,” Obama declared at T.C. Williams High School in Alexandria, Va.

At the time of of his speech, several polls indeed showed Obama beating McCain by a six-point or more margin. The

Time

magazine poll showed him beating McCain by seven points, 48 to 41. An Associated Press/Ipsos showed him winning by six points, 48 to 42. A CNN poll showed him winning by eight points, 52 to 44.

But those are three polls, not six. (For a neat summary of recent Obama-McCain polling, check out this

link

from RealClearPolitics.com; we accessed it on Feb. 11, 2008.) We weren’t able to find three other recent polls showing similar results.

It’s possible that Obama has access to private polls we haven’t seen. We asked the campaign for a response but didn’t hear back.

So we will deduct a small amount on the Truth-O-Meter for his citing of “the last six polls,” but Obama’s larger point is correct. Polls show he is winning against McCain, while Clinton either loses to McCain or beats him by a smaller margin. So we award this statement a Mostly True.

Our Sources

PollingReport.com, White House 2008: General Election , accessed Feb. 11, 2008.

RealClearPolitics.com, Election 2008: National Head-to-Head Polls , accessed Feb. 11, 2008.